Scorecard for this year. 1 & 2 as most likely and second most likely to win; asterisk denotes who I'd personally like to see win.
Outstanding Drama SeriesBoardwalk Empire
Dexter
* Friday Night Lights
Game of Thrones
2. The Good Wife
1. Mad Men
With Breaking Bad not eligible this year, it's Mad Men's race to lose. I don't see its winning streak being interrupted this year. *Last chance for the superb FNL!
Oustanding Comedy Series
The Big Bang Theory
Glee
1. Modern Family
The Office
* Parks and Recreation
2. 30 Rock
Voter laziness.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama
2. Steve Buscemi as Nucky Thompson in Boardwalk Empire
Michael C. Hall as Dexter Morgan in Dexter
* Kyle Chandler as Coach Eric Taylor in Friday Night Lights
Hugh Laurie as Dr. Gregory House in House
Timothy Olyphant as Raylan Givens in Justified
1. Jon Hamm as Don Draper in Mad Men
Bryan Cranston's not eligible so I predict Jon Hamm will get his due. Phenomenal season for him. *Last chance for the always stellar Kyle Chandler.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama
* Connie Britton as Tami Taylor in Friday Night Lights
1. Julianna Margulies as Alicia Florrick in The Good Wife
Kathy Bates as Harriet "Harry" Korn in Harry's Law
Mireille Enos as Sarah Linden in The Killing
Mariska Hargitay as Olivia Benson in Law & Order: SVU
2. Elisabeth Moss as Peggy Olson in Mad Men
I'd love to see either Elisabeth or Connie win.
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy
Jim Parsons as Sheldon Cooper in The Big Bang Theory
Johnny Galecki as Leonard Hofstadter in The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc as Matt LeBlanc in Episodes
* Louis C.K. as Louie in Louie
1. Steve Carell as Michael Scott in The Office
2. Alec Baldwin as Jack Donaghy in 30 Rock
Carrell's last season and he hasn't won yet.
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy
1. Laura Linney as Cathy Jamison in The Big C
Melissa McCarthy as Molly Flynn in Mike & Molly
Edie Falco as Jackie Peyton in Nurse Jackie
* Amy Poehler as Leslie Knope in Parks and Recreation
Martha Plimpton as Virginia Chance in Raising Hope
2. Tina Fey as Liz Lemon in 30 Rock
Are voters tired of Tina yet? Not that she's not fantastic -- she is! But I think Laura submitted The Big C's Pilot which shows huge emotional range. Melissa McCarthy's had a good year though.
As for the other actor categories:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama
* Peter Dinklage / Josh Charles / Alan Cumming / Walton Goggins / John Slattery / Andre Braugher
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama
Kelly Macdonald / Archie Panjabi / Christine Baranski / Margo Martindale / Michelle Forbes / * Christina Hendricks
Outstanding Writing (Drama)
Friday Night Lights "Always" Jason Katims / Game of Thrones "Baelor" David Benioff and D.B. Weiss / The Killing "Pilot" Veena Sud / * Mad Men "The Suitcase" Matthew Weiner / Mad Men "Blowing Smoke" Andre Jacquemetton and Maria Jacquemetton
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy
Chris Colfer / Jesse Tyler Ferguson / Ed O'Neill / Eric Stonestreet / * Ty Burrell / Jon Cryer
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy
Jane Lynch / Betty White / Julie Bowen / * Sofia Vergara / Kristen Wiig / Jane Krakowski
Outstanding Writing (Comedy)
Episodes "Episode 7" David Crane and Jeffrey Klarik / * Louie "Poker/Divorce" Louis C.K. / Modern Family "Caught in the Act" Steven Levitan and Jeffrey Richman / The Office "Goodbye Michael" Greg Daniels / 30 Rock "Reaganing" Matt Hubbard